Serbia: Nikolic President, problems loom for Government

Possible cohabitation, danger of instability for EU, Kosovo

21 May, 20:14

(ANSAmed) - BELGRADE, MAY 21 - The surprise election of nationalist conservative Tomislav Nikolic represents a political earthquake for Serbia and opens a period of uncertainty and possible instability which may have negative repercussions on the country's reform process on its path towards Europe, as for the process of dialogue begun between Belgrade and Pristina. In his first statements as victor yesterday evening, Nikolic reassured listeners about continuity in Serbia's process of integration with Europe. Nikolic was formerly an ultranationalist extremist, who then converted to a more moderate position, cautiously open to the European option. But doubts linger due to the force of his past openly anti-European pronouncements, and the fact that shortly before the election he forged an alliance with a trenchantly anti-European party. It is therefore no coincidence that international reactions have tended, while congratulating Mr Nikolic, to stress an explicit invitation for Serbia to continue on its path towards Europe - a path resolutely embarked upon by former president Boris Tadic, whose defeat in yesterday's poll has come as a surprise to many. The most immediate upshot of Nikolic's bursting onto the scene will be greater difficulties in forming a new government.

On the eve of the ballot, Tadic's Democratic Party (DS) and the Socialist Party (SPS) under the popular and influential Interior Minister Ivica Dacic, had agreeed to continue with their centre-left coalition government, with the support of the other minor reformist parties (the Party of the Regions and the Liberal-Democrat Party). But Nikolic's unexpected victory has induced Dacic to tell a newspaper that the situation has now changed and that ''everything will be more complicated''. Dacic, whose Socialist Party doubled its mandate during the legislative elections of May 6, making it the third-largest political force in the country (behind Nikolic's Progress Party and Tadic's Democratic Party), has become the true power broker.

He could stick to his word, or he could be attracted by the prospect of an alliance with Nikolic, should attractive offers come his way, involving interesting political gains. The deadline for forming a new government is September 5.

Nobody wants to think of Serbia being without a government until then, but if this should come to pass, fresh elections beckon.(ANSAmed).

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